The previous relative safety of benzodiazepines has become especially challenged lately with the misuse and abuse of related drugs such as Halcion and Xanax. Notably, these newer ultra-short acting benzodiazepines have a much shorter half-lives. This means that they clear out of the body very fast. Also, they have been considered the sole cause of death in recent forensic cases. Their potential lethality is especially increased when injected, and is the most common form of benzodiazepine-related respiratory failure. While diazepam is effective at a dose of 5 mg, the effective dose of Xanax is merely 250 mcg, with a half-life of 10-20 hours. Thus Xanax works as well as Diazepam at one-twentieth of the dose. Diazepam works in 30 minutes, while Xanax works immediately, and has a half-life of 10-20 hours. That means that 10-20 hours after taking it, half of it has been rendered useless. When injected, benzodiazepines in general are twice as potent. Thus a significantly toxic oral dose of 30 mg of diazepam would be easily achieved by an approximate equivalent of 500 mcg to 750 mcg of intravenously administered Xanax. Diazepam is measured usually by its secondary metabolites in the liver, and the metabolites for Xanax and Diazepam and Valium are all very similar, so often no differentiation is made during testing, which is often only conducted to determine presence, not quantity. If the benzodiazepine in Cobain's blood was indeed a fast-acting one, then it very likely played a major role in making the massive dose of heroin even more deadly.
SOME DEATHS INVOLVING
HEROIN & DIAZEPAM
Gottschalk and Cravey,
in their large compilation of deaths involving psychotropic drugs, found
129 cases where morphine, predominantly intravenous heroin, was determined
to be the primary cause of death. Three of these cases involved diazepam
and intravenous heroin or morphine (33). The first and second cases both
involved oral diazepam plus intravenous heroin and/or morphine. The first
case showed a blood morphine level of only 0.13 mg/L and diazepam at 1.4
mg/L, and the body was discovered approximately nine hours after death.
Case 2 showed 0.3 mg/L blood morphine and 6 mg/L diazepam, and was discovered
about seven hours after death. Case 3 included the possibility that the
diazepam might have been injected with the morphine, and the blood
levels were 0.02 mg/L morphine and 0.3 mg/L diazepam, with the body discovered
about 24 hours after death. The third case in particular shows an extremely
low blood morphine level can be lethal when combined with a low dose of
diazepam.
4.) CASE UNPARALLELED IN SUICIDE & OVERDOSE REPORTS:
VERY HIGH BLOOD MORPHINE
LEVELS ARE RARE
As mentioned previously,
the strongest forensic evidence indicating Cobain was murdered is the sheer
lack of a parallel case in forensic literature concerning violent suicides
and/or overdoses. Overdose reports normally show results similar to those
from Logan & Luthi, who described 16 deaths caused by intravenous heroin
or morphine in which blood levels were measured, and the highest serum
morphine level seen was 0.920 mg/L. (57). Appendix A: Compendium
of Intravenous Heroin Related Deaths Where Blood Morphine Levels Were Measured,
shows the rarity of occurrence of a blood morphine level equal to or greater
than Cobain's. Many thousands of opiate related deaths were reviewed, and
for the purposes of this report, over 3000 of these deaths were determined
to be specifically related to overdoses among addicts involving the intravenous
use of morphine or heroin. Next, this group was further narrowed to eliminate
those cases in which blood morphine levels were not available. Cases where
the drug was known to be morphine were eliminated, as were cases where
the cause of death was determined to be other than overdose. The 1526 cases
remaining showed 26 instances where the blood morphine levels were equal
to or above Cobain's, an occurrence rate of 1.7%. None of the above cases
reportedly involve a gun or violent suicide. Additionally, no case reported
overdose sequlelae of a nature which would even imply the possibility of
anything other than immediate incapacitation and/or death. Where data was
available, it was remarkably clear in presenting images of addicts with
tourniquets in place, syringes in hand, and other evidence of abrupt death.
Clearly, the level found in Cobain is among the top 2% of the highest blood
morphine levels ever discovered, even in severe addicts.
SELF-POISONING & VIOLENT
SUICIDE RARE AMONG ADDICTS
The fact that the Cobain
case as it supposedly happened has no parallel in the references reviewed
concurs with Burston's finding that "self-poisoning with morphine or
heroin is very uncommon." (9). He also states the effects of heroin
"...is
of such short duration and is so intense that it inhibits any type of physical
activity, either criminal or non-criminal." (9). Also, no case of violent
or traumatic suicide reviewed compared well with the Cobain case. Gatter
studied "...1862 postmortem examinations of suicides carried out in
north west London over a 20 year period from 1957-1977...," (29) with
only 20% (369 cases) committing suicide by physical injury, none of which
involved opiates. Maurer and Vogel state plainly "...the general rule
that opiates inhibit tendencies toward violence." (59). Similar findings
are reported by Nowers, in his study of "...51 consecutive gunshot suicides
in the County of Avon, England between 1974 and 1990," where it is
apparent that suicide by gunshot is uncommon. "Of the 1,117 cases identified,
51 were gunshot suicides (4.5 per cent)...39 used a shotgun."
(65).
Again, no case reported blood morphine levels. This is illustrated
in Table 5, below.
Table 5
Absence of Parallel Case
Among 760 Violent Suicides
No. of Violent Deaths
/ Violent Deaths Including Heroin O.D. / Source
96 / 0 / Selway
369 / 0 / Gatter
51 / 0 / Nowers
246 / 0 / Cooper &
Milroy
NONE OF 3586 SUICIDES
SHOW PARALLEL TO COBAIN CASE
Additionally, Selway's (83)
study of all 96 gunshot suicides in Victoria, Australia during 1988, demonstrates
that none of the 64 cases where the blood was analyzed involved narcotics.
Only two cases had taken an overdose of any kind, one drinking Paraquat,
and the other taking oxazepam, alcohol, and imipramine. Selway's and Nowers'
studies collectively deal with 147 suicides in which a gunshot was the
cause of death, yet not one single case even distantly resembled the supposed
scenario for Cobain's "suicide." The 1862 suicides studied by Gatter
included 369 violent deaths, with 51 gunshot suicides as well as a significant
degree of drug overdoses, yet again, no parallel exists to Cobain's case.
Cooper & Milroy's study involved 536 suicides, 246 of which were violent,
10 of which involved a gun. (15).Thus, in 3586 total suicides, including
208 suicides by gunshot, no case remotely resembles a situation where a
gunshot of any kind and a heroin overdose of even minor proportions occurred.
REVIEW OF RARE OVERDOSE
CASES IN COBAIN'S RANGE
Remarkably, 8 studies out
of 19 reported on at least one of the 26 rare blood morphine levels in
Cobain's range. Staubb, et. al., listed 12 cases in particular out of the
52 cases studied which showed total blood morphine levels equal or above
Cobain's level. (90). However, it is vital to note that all these cases
involved abrupt death immediately following injection, and none of any
of the 52 cases studies was reported to have committed suicide with a gun
of any kind. Basically, their study showed a remarkable consistency in
abrupt reactions, indicating an 85% probability of instant death, and 15%
chance of instantaneous collapse into a comatose state. Still, it is worth
pointing out that this is the single largest group of cases at or above
Cobain's range. Coumbis & Balkrishena (16) show four high level cases,
while Gottschalk & Cravey (33) and Hine, et. al. (42) each show 3 such
cases. Studies which found only one such level are Richards, et. al. (77),
Paterson (70), and Monforte (62). Finally, Nakamura (63), mentioned previously,
also found only one very high level case, with 1.8 mg/L, and the manner
of death was known to be instantaneous.
WASHINGTON STATE HEROIN
OVERDOSES
Regarding Washington State
heroin overdose deaths, including Seattle, a 1996 report by Logan &
Smirnow in a study of 32 cases of "...deaths involving morphine." (58).
The focus of their research basically concerned testing the reliability
of postmortem blood samples over time, and the variabilities between morphine
levels when collected from different tissues, including different "sites"
of
blood collection, eg. femoral, iliac, and ventricular sites. Also of specific
relevance to the Cobain case is the authors noted "...the pattern of
opiate use in this population is almost exclusively one of Mexican black
tar heroin." (58). Generally, they conclude that "Although both
site dependant differences and time dependant changes have been shown to
affect the concentration of some drugs in postmortem samples, neither appears
to be the case with morphine." (58). The main point is that the Cobain
blood data is generally regarded as reliable, despite the fact that the
body was discovered at least three days after death. More importantly,
note that only one case of 32 was suicide, with the remainder listed as
accidents or probable accidents. The highest total blood morphine level,
collected initially from the iliac site, is 0.4 mg/L, shows black tar heroin
use among a population of addicts does not appear to necessarily lead to
significantly higher blood morphine levels than those found in addict populations
where black tar heroin is uncommon.
BLACK TAR HEROIN DEATHS
IN NEW MEXICO
The high lethality of black
tar heroin due to increased purity levels is discussed in Sperry's 1988
paper (90). Most of the 129 deaths involved "...very high (greater than
1 mg/L) concentrations of opiates in the blood..." (89). Sperry also
discovered the highest level of purity in black tar heroin ever reported,
93 % in some rare cases. No case involved "...the so-called acute idiosyncratic
reaction...," further supporting the findings that acute heroin overdoses
are dose-related primarily. While it is obvious that many adulterants can
increase lethality, it would be completely mistaken to think that pure
heroin lacks toxicity as a result of it's purity or the lack of toxic adulterants.
None of the cases studied by Sperry showed evidence of other drugs, and
no case was reported to involve a gun or trauma. While it is unfortunate
that Sperry does not provide a detailed list of blood morphine levels and
other data, it is important to note that even in a population of addicts
overdosing on black tar heroin, levels over 1 mg/L are considered "...very
high..." (89) This contrasts with Cobain's level, which registers 50%
higher. Due to lack of specific blood data, Sperry's report is excluded
from Appendix A.
PREPONDERANCE OF EVIDENCE
Further confirmation of
these findings is seen ubiquitously throughout the scientific literature,
creating a preponderance of evidence. Gottschalk & Cravey's study of
128 heroin-related deaths showed only 3 cases in Cobain's range. (33).
Only one of the 128 deaths involved secondary self-inflicted trauma of
any kind, in which one person committed suicide by hanging. Notably, despite
evidence of intravenous heroin and/or morphine use, and despite the fact
that morphine levels in other tissues confirmed death by overdose, there
was no morphine detectable in the blood at all, which helps explain
how the individual had time to hang himself. The individual in question
tested positive for several drugs, as is common in cases of self-poisoning,
and this accounts for the lethality of the otherwise low dose of opiates.
Specifically, oral methadone was also consumed, thus there would be a moderately
delayed reaction before the combined effects of the drugs took effect and
killed the victim before he died from the hanging itself. None of the 128
deaths involved a gun of any kind.
DECONSTRUCTING THE MYTH
OF THE SUICIDAL HEROIN ADDICT
Paterson (70) discusses
189 cases of fatal self-poisoning in North and West London between 1975
and 1984. These cases involved only one drug each, and each case was determined
to be the direct result of an overdose of that specific drug, with no other
contributing causes. The study further confirms that the myth of the suicidal
heroin addict is indeed a myth, with only seven cases involving morphine,
i.e. less than 0.04% of the cases studied. The average, or "mean,"
blood
morphine level was high, at 1 mg/L, with a range of 0.19 mg/L to 1.9 mg/L,
indicating at least one case in which the concentration was at or above
Cobain's range (probably only one, which would raise the mean beyond normally
seen mean levels). No other details are provided concerning the route of
administration, i.e. whether or not the morphine or heroin were administered
orally or intravenously. Intravenous administration is a significant possibility,
and since Paterson's study includes at least one case in seven in Cobain's
range, the data is used in this study to determine the specific probability
and/or possibility
of an individual attaining such a high blood
level. Note that if the data is interpreted as 1 case in 189, then the
chances of an individual attaining such a blood morphine level via self-poisoning,
during a nine year period, is less than 0.0054%, i.e. extremely remote.
5.) CASE CONSISTENT WITH HOMICIDE PATTERNS:
BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT GOES
TO THE VICTIM
The idea that a person could
intentionally kill someone is hard to truly accept, and it is even harder
to imagine someone staging a murder to look like a suicide. It seems normal
to ask "does this really happen?" Yes it does happen...staged deaths
are unfortunately not rare. Furthermore, criminology textbooks clearly
state that when someone who is drugged supposedly commits suicide, the
"...fair
supposition..." is murder. Also, when an adult goes "missing,"
the
chances of suicide are very slim. Read a sampling for yourself from O'Hara's,
Charles E., Fundamentals of Criminal Investigation (66): "...V.
Beck examined forty suicides, whose skulls were smashed... Naturally in
such cases the muzzle of the barrel must be placed directly under the chin
or in the mouth. It is not therefore impossible that a murder may be
committed in this way, and all the more likely as it lends itself easily
to the suspicion of suicide; it is a fair supposition that a person asleep,
stupefied, or bound, may thus be killed
Table 6
Rarity of Suicide Among
Missing Persons
Incidence of Suicide in Missing
Persons Reference
1 in 2000 O'Hara
2,000 TO 1 ODDS AGAINST
SUICIDE AMONG MISSING PERSONS
Table 6, above, demonstrates
O'Hara's findings regarding the rarity of suicide among missing persons.
It must be noted that this data does not specifically regard heroin addicts,
and reflects the findings of one criminologist, yet it provides a general
indication as to the rarity of suicide among missing persons. He describes
how the myth of a suicidal missing person perpetuates homicides staged
to look like suicides; "To the layman the suicide theory is one of the
first to suggest itself in a disappearance case. Statistically, however,
it can be shown that the odds are greatly against the suicide solution.
Approximately
one out of 2,000 missing persons cases develops into a suicide case...A
voluntary disappearance is motivated by a desire to escape from some personal,
domestic, or business conflict...A disappointment in love seldom results
in a self-inflicted death...In the disappearance of approximately 100,000
people annually in this country, it is to be expected that personal violence
should play a significant part in some of the cases.
Murder, the unspoken
fear of the relatives and the police, must always lie in the back of the
investigator's mind as a possible explanation. The suspicions of a
shrewd investigator have not infrequently uncovered an unsuspected homicide.
The two most popular motives for this type of homicide are money and love."
Thus it is made clear that the police and relatives routinely view the
possibility of murder with a certain degree of horror, while the investigator
must remain suspicious to a degree which others may find ghoulish and/or
paranoid, but which is nonetheless the call of duty.
CASE PARALLELS MANY HOMICIDE
PATTERNS
A review of Lester's book
on murder statistics shows the conflicting nature of much of the research
into the possible relationships between homicide and suicide, yet establishes
very clearly that "Narcotics were more likely to be present in the homicides."
(54).
Victims of murder are usually men, and for both sexes, the most vulnerable
age group is between 25 and 34 years of age. Both sexes were
"...killed
most often at home. Both were killed more often with guns..."
Regarding
the statistical possibility of spouse murder, Levin & Fox state that
"...though only 15% of all homicides are committed by females, more
than 40% of all poisonings are committed by them." (55). Lester reports
on Wolfgang's 1956 Philadelphia study which concluded that
"Wives killing
husbands constituted 41% of female murderers...Men killed by women were
most often killed by their wives." Furthermore, again consistent with
Cobain case, "...spouse murders were more often violent and brutal than
other murders...85% of spouse murders took place in the home." (54).
Another study showed "...murderers more often attacked people they knew."
A 1972 study in New York City by Baden found
"...215 homicides, 19 suicides,
and 46 accidents among narcotic addicts. Narcotics homicides (versus other
homicides versus other addict deaths) were more often male..." (54).
SIMULATED SUICIDES A MAJOR
CONCERN
Similarly, O'Hara remarks
on the common phenomenon of "Simulated Suicides: These are usually
planned by persons wishing to defraud insurance companies or to arrange
for a change of spouse...A search for motives should include an inquiry
into insurance policies...," as well as a concept especially relevant
to this case, the "Incapacitating Sequence: Certain combinations
of wounds suggest a physical impossibility. To draw a conclusion of suicide,
the wounds should be physically not improbable...". Additionally, he
makes the point "Murder: The conclusion that a particular homicide
is a murder is often made by the exclusion of accident and suicide."
(66).
The above quotes show how a charge of murder can result from
disproving
the possibility of an accident or suicide. Motives aside, the main issue
here is described above as an "incapacitating sequence." Indeed,
the simple fact that Cobain was drugged at all is considered a major indication
of murder. Truthfully, Cobain's death should have been treated as murder
from the start; as the victim he should have received the benefit of the
doubt.
Table 7
Homicidal Poisoning by
Intravenous Heroin: Hot Shots
Heroin Related Deaths % Homicidal
"Hot Shots" Reference
174 3.5 % (6 cases) Froede
& Stahl
HOMICIDAL "HOT SHOTS"
NOT UNCOMMON
Froede and Stahl, in their
paper "Fatal Narcotism in Military Personnel," reviewed 1.3 million
U.S. military autopsies between 1918 and 1970, and found 174 cases due
to "fatal narcotism." (26). Such deaths have been an ongoing problem
for the U.S. military, especially since the expanded military presence
of U.S. personnel in Asia since WW II. Interestingly, there were only two
deaths involving a gun shot wound, both of which were determined to be
accidents while under the influence. These 2 cases did not involve lethal
levels, and were thus excluded from Appendix A. Only 14 cases,
i.e. 8 %, were determined to be suicide. Thus, despite the overwhelming
prevalence of guns in the military, a factor well known to increase the
likelihood of a gunshot related suicide, no such case occurred. Additionally,
6 cases, i.e. 3.5 %, were determined to be the result of an intentional
homicidal administration of a lethal dose of heroin, a "hot shot." Thus
if a similar figure existed for civilian cases, i.e. a 3.5% occurrence
of homicidal hot shots amongst heroin deaths, then it appears clear that
the Cobain case, statistically speaking, is much more likely to be the
result of such a "hot shot" than any other scenario put forth.
OVERTURNED CASES
Levin & Fox (55) report
on a series of staged deaths perpetrated by Doreathea Puentes, who allegedly
poisoned up to nine people. The first victim was thought to have committed
suicide by an overdose of codeine, a verdict which changed when other deaths
were correlated with Puentes. As mentioned elsewhere in this essay, other
cases have been re-opened an resolved more successfully, eg. the James
case (20) in section two, the Winek case (97) in section seven, and the
"
postmortem credit card use" case (8) in section six.
6.) OTHER EVIDENCE INDICATES HOMICIDE:
NO LEGIBLE FINGERPRINTS
ON WEAPON
There is an officially acknowledged
lack of legible fingerprints on the shotgun. The weapon was handled by
two or more people several times before Cobain's death, so it is possible
someone wiped the gun clean to intentionally avoid detection. Another well
known fact is that Cobain's credit card was used several times after death.
Postmortem credit card use has, in and of itself, has been the sole precedent
in reopening and solving at least one homicide case staged to appear like
a suicide according to Burgess (8). The missing persons report was filed
by the widow, who told the SPD that Cobain had escaped a rehabilitation
centre, purchased a shotgun, and was suicidal. Truthfully, the purchase
occurred before Cobain entered the rehabilitation centre.
The report seemingly predisposed the SPD to the idea that they were investigating
a definite suicide, not a possible homicide. Despite SPD claims that the
case was investigated as a possible homicide from the beginning, the SPD
reports on the incident clearly state that the first officer on the scene
viewed the case as a suicide. Furthermore, Cobain's behaviour following
his departure from the rehabilitation centre included signing autographs
at the Seattle airport, hardly the behaviour of a "missing person."
Also, misleading accounts of details in the case have mistakenly claimed
the room in which Cobain was found was barricaded.
POSSIBLE NOTE ADDITIONS
AND MOTIVE
Additionally, the note found
at the scene of Cobain's death was determined by the SPD handwriting expert
to be a suicide note written by Cobain, yet significant disagreement among
handwriting experts points to the definite possibility that the most crucial
"suicidal"
lines, i.e. the last four lines, were written by a separate person. The
note reads like a retirement letter, written to Cobain's "fans,"
explaining his resignation from the music industry. This retirement included
a refusal to perform for a major tour, thus forgoing an estimated $7 to
$9.5 million dollars. The estimated revenue from Cobain's music is millions
of dollars, clearly enough to be a motive for homicide. The widow continues
to deny several reports claiming she and Cobain were about to be divorced
and that she was involved in an extra-marital affair.
CORONER DR. HARTSHORNE
IN CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The coroner, Dr. Nikolas
Hartshorne, was interviewed by a newspaper reporter for the Vancouver
Province in April 1996, and he insists Cobain died from a self-inflicted
shotgun wound. The doctor's credibility has been questioned due to a conflict
of interest, because he knew Cobain and the widow personally. Previous
investigative reports indicated this conflict of interest, but the newspaper
interview clearly confirms the problem. This was the first time it was
ever declared, for example, that not only had Hartshorne booked Seattle
"punk"
bands frequently, he actually booked Cobain's band, Nirvana. Additional
to the conflict of interest issues is the simple fact that even the best
coroners make mistakes. The most common cause of mistakes made by coroners
is basic human error. Gruver & Freis (1957), studied 1,106 autopsies,
who concluded that "...lack of mental alertness or awareness on the
part of the physician in attendance seemed to be a most common cause for
diagnostic errors. More often than not, the correct diagnosis could have
been made if the responsible physician had been less mentally stagnant
about the problem."(41).
Table 8
Prevalence of "Major"
Autopsy Discrepancies
No. of Autopsies % Cases
With At Least 1 Major Discrepancy
6000 11.7 % to 33.8 %
DIAGNOSTIC DISCREPANCIES
IN AUTOPSIES
When a diagnostic discrepancy
occurs in an autopsy, it is twice as likely to be due to something missed
than something found, or, as Hill & Anderson say, "...significant
underdiagnosis occurs more often than overdiagnosis by a factor of almost
2:1."(41). This fact conforms with the Cobain case, where the massive
level of blood morphine was mistakenly deemed irrelevant and thus "underdiagnosed."
Table
8, above, summarizes a study including over 6,000 autopsies, and provides
statistics which show that it is far more likely that the Cobain case involved
a serious "major" diagnostic discrepancy (a likelihood of at least
11.7% to 33.8%) than any other scenario put forth officially. Burgess
wrote, in Understanding the Autopsy, that "There are many jurisdictions
in this country where you would not have to be half-smart to get away with
murder, quite literally...the fact remains that, in all too many places,
the investigation of possible murder is undertaken only after pressure
is brought by relatives or other interested parties, and when such investigation
is instituted, it is done so incompetently that murder after murder goes
unsolved and unpunished." (8).
7.) CONCLUSION: HOMICIDE
"The question whether a fatal injury was homicidal, suicidal, or accidental is as common in real life as it is in detective fiction. ...It is natural for a murderer to try to escape detection by making his crime look like suicide or accident, and such attempts have doubtless been going on for a long time. One cannot say how long, for one never hears about them when they succeed. However, records of failures take us quite far back." Smith, Sir Sydney(87).
HOMICIDE AN OBVIOUS ASSUMPTION
Wecht, in the forward to
an article by Winek (97), stated that "One of the most useful and relatively
new areas of toxicology has to do with the significance and practical importance
of drug and chemical blood levels. Identification and more importantly,
quantitation, of blood levels is essential in many civil and criminal actions
involving drugs. Without such information, the cases become matters of
pure speculation and are predicated on circumstantial evidence (which may
or may not prove to be correct ultimately)."(97). Winek's article,
"Drug
and chemical blood levels," mentions the following amazing case: "A
lethal level of a drug or chemical found in an individual's blood does
not by itself establish the cause of death. For example, a known narcotic
addict was shot to death. Analyses of various body tissues (brain, bile,
blood, etc.) revealed levels of morphine that have been found in other
deaths attributed to overdose with heroin or morphine. However, in this
case the cause of death was due to the bullet wounds!" (97). The indication
is that a morphine overdose simultaneous with a gun shot wound is an overwhelmingly
rare phenomenon at most, and that in the only such incident reported, the
most obvious conclusion was homicide.
Table 9
Some Probability Summaries
Description of Event Probability
CASE SHOULD BE RE-OPENED
& VERDICT CHANGED
Table 9, above, summarizes
several probability statements regarding this case. A large dose of two
drugs administered by intravenous injection thus appears to be a definite
possibility. Specifically, Cobain was probably given an injection of no
less 225 mg of some type of heroin and a benzodiazepine. The suggestion
that Cobain's tolerance to heroin was so high that he could have withstood
the dose described above is clearly mistaken. The addition of a benzodiazepine
of any kind, especially in combination with Cobain's low body weight, points
to complete incapacitation at best, and strongly, if not conclusively indicates
Cobain was dead before the gunshot wound. The official statement that Cobain
ingested triple the lethal dose of heroin is probably an underestimate,
yet it must not be understated that triple the lethal dose of intravenous
heroin is three times more than the amount which kills even the most severe
addict. Dead men don't pull triggers.